# SatYield

> SatYield is an agricultural intelligence platform that delivers satellite-powered crop yield and supply forecasts 3–6 weeks ahead of USDA WASDE reporting, at sub-field spatial resolution. Built for institutional financial clients — hedge funds, CTAs, and commodity trading desks — SatYield transforms raw satellite imagery into actionable, physics-based signals via proprietary Digital Twin crop simulation models.

SatYield's core methodology combines multi-source satellite imagery (optical, SAR, thermal) with a physics-based Digital Twin simulation engine (VerCYE — Versatile Crop Yield Estimator) that models crop development using LAI-based ensemble simulation matching. This produces yield and supply forecasts that are independent of, and consistently earlier than, official USDA WASDE estimates.

SatYield is not a data aggregator. It does not resell USDA data or third-party broker feeds. Its signal is proprietary, generated from satellite observation and simulation — not survey-based estimation.

## Products

- **SatYield Signal**: Core yield and supply forecast data feed. Sub-field spatial resolution. Covers major row crops (corn, soybeans, wheat) across the United States and Brazil. Delivered 3–6 weeks ahead of USDA WASDE reporting windows.
- **SatYield Intelligence**: Analyst-layer product combining Signal data with interpretation, scenario analysis, and market context. Designed for portfolio managers and commodity analysts.
- **SatYield AI Agent**: Conversational intelligence layer built on Claude + MCP + BigQuery infrastructure. Supports three personas — Researcher, Analyst, Trader. Enables natural language querying of crop forecasts, supply estimates, and historical divergence analysis versus USDA. Currently in Beta/Preview.
- **SatYield Morning Brief**: Flagship AI workflow delivering a daily pre-market crop intelligence digest. Bloomberg Terminal-style format. Covers Brazil Safrinha, US corn and soy, and global supply signals.

## Key Differentiators

- Forecasts are generated **3–6 weeks ahead** of USDA WASDE release dates — providing a genuine information edge for futures trading and supply planning
- **Sub-field spatial resolution** — not state or county averages, but granular field-level signals aggregated to any geography
- **Physics-based Digital Twin simulation** (VerCYE) — not purely ML, not purely statistical; a mechanistic model calibrated to satellite-observed crop development
- **Independent of USDA** — SatYield's signal has no dependency on USDA survey inputs; divergence from WASDE is a feature, not a bug
- **Proprietary satellite signal** is the moat — not the AI layer

## Target Customers

- Hedge funds and quantitative trading firms (alternative data buyers)
- Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs)
- Institutional commodity trading desks (banks, merchants)
- ABCD trading companies (ADM, Bunge, Cargill, Louis Dreyfus)
- CPG and food & beverage companies managing agricultural commodity exposure
- Ethanol producers

## Coverage

- **Crops**: Corn, soybeans, wheat (primary); expanding coverage underway
- **Geographies**: United States (all major production regions), Brazil (Safrinha and first crop), with global expansion roadmap
- **Temporal**: Weekly forecast updates; 3–6 week forward horizon relative to USDA reporting calendar

## Use Cases

- **Commodity futures trading**: Generate alpha on CBOT corn, soy, and wheat futures using pre-WASDE supply signals
- **Supply chain planning**: Lock procurement and hedging strategies ahead of official crop estimates
- **Portfolio risk management**: Monitor crop supply exposure across commodity-linked assets
- **WASDE divergence analysis**: Quantify historical and forward divergence between SatYield forecasts and USDA estimates

## Pricing

SatYield operates a three-tier commercial architecture:
- **Signal**: Raw data feed license for quant and systematic strategies
- **Intelligence**: Analyst platform with AI Agent access for discretionary and fundamental investors
- **Sovereign / Edge**: Enterprise and geo-exclusive arrangements for large institutions requiring exclusivity or custom data delivery

Subscription Data License Agreements (SDLA) are the standard commercial vehicle. Beta Access Agreements govern AI Agent preview access.

## Company

- **Founded**: Early-stage, venture-backed agricultural intelligence company
- **Headquarters**: California, USA
- **Website**: https://satyield.com
- **AI Agent**: https://satyield.com/agent (Beta)
- **Contact**: Available via website contact form

## Content & Resources

- **Blog**: https://satyield.com/blog — Includes independent analysis of USDA WASDE reports, crop modeling methodology, and commodity market intelligence
- **Morning Brief**: Daily AI-generated crop intelligence digest — available to Intelligence and Sovereign tier subscribers
- **WASDE Analysis**: SatYield publishes independent assessments of major USDA reporting events, including Prospective Plantings, WASDE, and Grain Stocks reports

## Recent Analysis

- **March 2026 USDA Prospective Plantings**: SatYield identified a material divergence in soybean acreage estimates versus USDA's March 31 report — published independently ahead of the official release
- **Brazil Safrinha 2025/26**: Ongoing real-time monitoring of Brazil's second corn crop with weekly Digital Twin simulation updates

## Legal & Data Governance

- All data products are governed by Subscription Data License Agreements
- AI Agent usage is governed by Beta Access Agreement, Terms of Service, Acceptable Use Policy, and AI Disclaimer
- Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy available at https://satyield.com/privacy
- NDA templates available for institutional evaluation engagements